Overambitious. I should watch out for that after a big green day. In too big and as of midday I'm red. Setting orders and need to walk away for a bit. Barring a big up move, I close red today.
Friday, July 21, 2023
Thursday, July 20, 2023
vacation
We were away all last week on vacation. I took a few small trades, against my intention not to trade on vacation 🚩. Losers, which is what I deserved for my indiscipline.
This week, Mon and Tues were +/- tiny days. Yesterday I caught a really juicy trade on LULU. I feel like the lesson there is to keep trading clockwork. There will be some small red days, some small green days, but when the market does my thing, I will have those big green days!
Today, I traded AMD for a nice winner. TSLA a loser, then a second try where I took a loser on the first half and a big winner on the second half (net loser overall). Have to manage trades. Have to take the small losses so I don't defeat the winners, which do come.
Friday, July 7, 2023
Steady clockwork
Clockwork trading going along steadily this week. No wild swings emotionally or in the account.
I like it like the old days, where I grab gains and get away from my desk.
So while today I left some on the table, I had close to zero stress and was done before 10am. I'm here for that!
Thursday, July 6, 2023
small green
Was down small, and then the SPY trade got me up small.
I didn't hold UPST long enough. I was in for only 1 contract, to make 20%. Could have had a lot more easily there.
I traded TSM ok. It bounced against me a little too much but I held ("trust" in my setup?) and was able to get out of half well and half flat.
TSLA I didn't wait for a good enough entry and/or didn't give my entry enough room. It did my thing without me. Entries matter.
MSFT nms I got in too early, rode up to ndh and thankfully got out green.
META nms negated it all (and then it did my thing without me)
I need to dig in to why I let myself trade nms. Especially, it should be plain and simple that inside bars will be chop shop.
SPY, one single call and an excellent run off my rare bottom pick, made the small red loss back and almost equal amount into green.
Thursday, June 22, 2023
option sweeps "information"
Wednesday, June 21, 2023
multiple strikes for same position
Was up nicely on my account today at one point. Then got "cute" and tried nms on (guess...?) 0dte SPY. Gave half back. Worth it? Maybe, for the potential it had? Update: it did play out later for coulda shoulda.
Let's focus on GOOGL. It was gapping down below trendline, but still in the base, arguably. So when the market was holding on at the open and GOOGL did that big reversal I tried a long. I think it was a decent case, but that was not my intended trade. Took the loss, then did enter my intended trade for a winner.
Here's today's experiment and thoughts. I took the 122 puts and the 121 puts. I took 10 of each, so the 121 position had less starting capital in it. In the "normal" profit range (see here, 20-40%), the gains were similar. If I put the same $ in each, I'd have similar $ gains. If I can take more contracts at a farther otm strike, I have more options for scaling/holding, and if it goes really far the % gain will amplify.
That's great if I get a big move. What about last week in LEN. I thought it was going to be a big breakout. I got 118s to start with and 120s later. A little hard to compare, but over there the 118s went well into the money and the 120s barely. So the 118s paid well, and if I had only had the 120s it wouldn't have been a great trade.
My conclusion from those 2 trades is that it is a good idea to take 2 strikes in some shape or form. Should I combine with multiple expirations? I don't really want to be holding/swinging anything (at this point in my career) so should I do equal number or equal dollar allocation? And, I'm going to have to really be decisive about levels. Today I panicked and tried to take off partials of both the GOOGL calls, but I couldn't get the order to execute like I thought it should have. I think I had done the same thing for the LEN calls, and it did work. I'll go back and see what I overlooked in a panic that didn't execute.
I have a learning curve for this, but it has some promise!
Tuesday, June 20, 2023
just flat
Start from the end... in retrospect on this day, it was only somewhat a clockwork day. I took those 20% targets. I took stops (vs yanking them, but need to work on placement/philo). I quit when I should without going on tilt... is that the consolation of the day? ... well, at least I didn't tilt?
I had a decent pick PDD. I don't mind the first trade I took. I don't mind I stopped where I did. I like that I reentered. But I took the second trade scared. I need to either hold for targets or take very tight stops. That last exit was wishy-washy. I shouldn't stop in the middle. I should take the extreme, or give it reasonable (if painful?) room. The halfway stop is just a waste.
AMZN was off plan, inside day, I chased (while inside!! cardinal sin). That's actually the one I should be regretting.
Trading SPY 0dte is also not usually my best move. It's a lazy trade. I should be looking for relative weakness. That trade was 20% my usual size, but helped me recover.
Why would I spit at this day? I went into the first PDD trade too big(bottom row), and all the subsequent gains only almost recovered that. I'm down $9 on the day, I'm calling it flat. Seems tempting to try to jump back into something and go green, but I need to focus on trading my plan, which I have already strayed from. My pick/s are played out. I already had one lapse in reason. Calling it a day.
Friday, June 16, 2023
return to clockwork
Today I closed the overnight hold of LEN for a little more gains. Lost huge on MRVL. Won big on U. Net red day.
Thursday, June 15, 2023
will I never learn?
Psychologically toxic day for me today.
Main trade was LEN. Breakout to ath on earnings. I waited for the sellers to clear (should there have been sellers?) then bought, and added out of the consolidation. Should the open have been so cumbersome on new ath? after a daily pullback and consolidation (cup/handle type situation)? The volume was there.
So whatever. I got in, took far less than half off for stellar gains, but not before enduring a pullback to my ~breakeven/vwap. Should that have happened? Why wasn't I asking myself, "is this what an incredibly strong breakout looks like?" [NO!] That should have told me to capture much more gains there when I did.
Then I f'ing sat in it all day long. Going pretty deep red, then it couldn't cross 120 in the afternoon... is that the behavior of an incredibly strong breakout? [NO!]
And then, for the... why? ... I took a tiny position home overnight. For tomorrow's expiration... Why? It's just AT the money and it it currently at the close tonight about 1% in the red (flat) so tomorrow barring a big move into the money, these go to zero.
One of the most frustrating parts is that the market defied all laws of gravity. The market is sooo extended, but look at SPY nonstop uptrend all day. While this fker just grinded.
Good luck tomorrow to save my week which is currently red.
Tuesday, June 13, 2023
not a day to press
Today was not a day to press. Market is extended. Indexes didn't trend. I tried to press. Red day.
The second try in CRWD was punishment I deserved. When I stopped the first half, I briefly thought to flip short (failed breakout). But instead of short, or just passing, I did this asinine thing. Waste of money.
Monday, June 12, 2023
surprise great day
This morning while prepping, I realized I needed to help my parents and wouldn't really be able to trade the open.
I did a literal hit and run on COIN, in 5 min made a decent gain on COIN and then tore myself away.
By the time I got back home it was after 2:30. Picked through the rvol screener and tried NVDA (which worked later) and TSLA (which didn't give either direction particularly).
QQQ caught my eye as making new high and I was able to catch SPY making ndh and move above yesterday high for continuation. Took 1dte, esp since it was already 2:45. Raked it in!
Friday, June 9, 2023
Small quick trading day to close a stellar week
Learned this morning and came in 9:40. Used the TradingView rvol screener in real time (5min) to see what was moving. Caught a few quick moves. Left a lot on the table, but also had close to zero stress. Quit with cash still cold. Shabbat shalom!
Thursday, June 8, 2023
siiiiick!!
Wednesday, June 7, 2023
Tuesday, June 6, 2023
basic green day
Monday, June 5, 2023
Hacked up on a day I should have passed
No surprise that when I trade on a day with zero great setups that I get hacked up (at best!). I'm lucky I didn't get totally smacked down.
Only "obvious" setup was PANW, gapping up on news Friday of being added to SP500. It didn't move me at the open and I passed (beneficially, bc it trded way down)
AMD and NVDA both had my eye for breakdowns. AMD barely/questionably triggered. I like how I waited for an entry, though maybe I should have waited for vwap break. When it "should have" fallen apart and didn't, I scaled out of 25% for the tiniest gain. Then it did indeed go against me hard. Got out for not-bad % loss, but was big $ loss on big-ish position.
Then I reversed AMD long, and I can only say I got lucky to get out green on the long, bc I went to a pretty big drawdown in the interim.
Story ends where it started, I would have been better off just completely passing on the trade this morning. No great setups, no trading. Why isn't that extremely obvious.
Thursday, June 1, 2023
Tuesday, May 30, 2023
premkt questions
Here's what I should have asked myself in the premkt this morning...
What are the chances we need to rest?
What are the chances we have another big bull day?
What are the market leaders doing premkt?
Thursday, May 25, 2023
RAKED it in!
Wednesday, May 24, 2023
textbook
Great green day today. I made back about 3/4 of what I lost yesterday, with smaller exposure.
I had 2 lovely picks this morning and allocated myself only enough money to trade those 2.
(yesterday) overtrading a no trend day
The market stayed in a tight range all morning
While I tried to trade trend. I should not have expected followthrough, and should have been quicker to take profits. I took 3 full losses as AI and COIN didn't hold up, and FSLR didn't hold down. That's max loss day.
I really didn't read the premarket right. In retrospect, it was obvious not a bull open.
Also, not good for me to be in 3 positions at the same time. I don't manage well. Stick to 1-2.
Monday, May 22, 2023
new thinking on taking profits
I'm moving away from the 20% p/l target. And I'm moving away from taking off half at the first target.
My trouble has persistently been that big losing days take a bite out of my progress.
New thinking: I need to keep my same loss controls, and build confidence to ride gains longer. I simply need more gains!
Today's approach was smaller size, and go a little farther otm for easier holds, smaller loss potential, bigger gains for successful moves. Today there was a power move on the open that helped me a lot. So I will continue to monitor over time how this is going.
Stellar day!
Friday, May 19, 2023
$44 (thursday)
Today I made $44 for my trouble. Better than red, but not the best hourly rate! I would have done better leaving after the open.
I would have done better setting orders and walking away--if only because I wouldn't have taken "one more trade" and "one more trade."
Charts maybe later, but it's nothing to write home about. Try/stop/try/target/stop/etc.
Wednesday, May 17, 2023
gorgeous trend day
The market opened up and I jumped the gun. Initial losses. When the market turned, it TURNED. We had a practically non stop trend from 10-2:00.
I was able to really ride my trades and take multiple partials with terrific gains, even including taking ~50% losses in APP. I had most of my winning partials above +200%
I took home very tiny long positions in MA and ISRG, hoping for followthough. Sized for zero, but I hope for $$
APP. Setup: daily continuation gap above few day consolidation.
Entry: resume up after pb
Management: didn't reach target. Ran all the way back down. Tried to hold but it didn't budge enough. Was too spready, but eventually I had to dump it when it was oblivious to todays monster rally.
QQQ. Setup: continuation run. Picked index with relative strength at the time, though IWM outperformed.
Entry: vwap bounce. dumped some. readded on recovery.
Management: Had to trim half when it went against me. In retrospect I should have trimmed more/all, much earlier. But would I have reentered if I didn't have a partial on? Anyway, I couldn't hold full size for what was happening. Held without a stop through news (!). Skimmed off at targets.
MA. Setup: continuation out of consolidation.
Entry: ndh. 3rd otm calls.
Management: Holding for the breakout move. One Target along the way, then shaved off in the eod consolidation. Took home 25% size.
ISRG Anticipating breakout, I bought 15% size starter into the close, for hopeful market continuation tomorrow and further upside here.
prep matters!
Yesterday I had 3 losing trades. While it was a choppy day, I also was aware that I came in after a poor night of sleep, and hectic market prep. I think the hectic market prep affects me more.
Yesterday's prep was not systematic. I had a lot of picks and hadn't honed it down or done the detail work. That's just sloppy. I guess I deserved those losses.
I can't just trade anything at any time. Maybe most of the days I feel like it's easy, but I need to remember that's because of my physical and mental prep!
Tuesday, May 16, 2023
total chop city!
Market has been very hard to trade. Maybe I could figure out how to just stay out of these messy things.
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